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一 |     Another Scottish independence referendum could be risky for the regional government in Edinburgh, an academic and analyst has said.,Embattled British Prime Minister Boris Johnson wrote to Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and first minister in the devolved administration, on Wednesday evening to deny her latest demand for a re-run of the 2014 plebiscite.,"As our country faces unprecedented challenges at home and abroad, I cannot agree that now is the time to return to a question, which was clearly answered by the people of Scotland in 2014," Johnson wrote.,Sturgeon announced in June that Scotland's Lord Advocate Dorothy Bain — whose cabinet post combines the powers of the Westminster government's attorney general and the director of public prosecutions — would ask the Supreme Court to rule on the legality of holding another vote without necessary approval from the Westminster Parliament.,The nationalist leader claimed Scots would vote to separate from England — where many of them work — out of a desire to reverse Brexit and opposition to 12 years of government by the Conservative Party, which holds few Parliamentary seats in Scotland.,Dr Roslyn Fuller, director of the non-profit think tank Solonian Democracy Institute and the author of the book Beasts and Gods: How Democracy Changed Its Meaning and Lost Its Purpose told Sputnik that while pushing for a repeat referendum was central to the SNP's identity, it was also a dangerous gamble.,She said SNP's planned vote next year would only be "advisory" and "non-binding", but that it also took the party back to its basic reason for being.,"I think the SNP has the same challenges that many other independence parties like Sinn Fein or the Bloc Quebecois have — they succeed in attaining power in their own region which forces them to go from a single-issue party (independence) to develop a multitude of other policies that voters then judge them on," the academic said.,"They end up working within the system they intended to break away from and this can dilute their message," Fuller added. "Sturgeon and the SNP generally need to be seen to be continuing to pursue independence to satisfy a certain portion of their voters, and this is a way to achieve that".,Running the plebiscite — with legal sanction — and winning would give the SNP a boost going in to the next general election, due by the end of January 2025 but potentially much sooner, the analyst believes.,Even if the vote was blocked, Sturgeon has already stated that she would consider the next general election a de-facto referendum on independence, she points out. "So again, it would serve to drive out the vote for the SNP and try to focus attention on this one issue (independence) that differentiates them from the other major parties.","The only really risky situation for her would be if the Court did greenlight such an advisory referendum and it failed at the polls," Fuller stressed.,The 'Yes' campaign was leading in the polls in the run-up to the 2014 referendum, but ultimately the 10 per cent of voters declaring themselves undecided went overwhelmingly to the 'No' camp. Scotland voted by 55 per cent to 45 to remain part of the UK.,The key unknown factor, according to Fuller, is who succeeds Johnson as next Tory leader an PM.,"My personal feeling is that we'll be seeing a turn of the Tories back to more establishment politics with likely quite different policies," she says. "I think they ran Johnson as a counter to Corbyn, but that job is done now that the Labour party has turned back to its own centre.",Fuller argues that such a major change of political direction would be significant enough that a snap general election should be called to seek a new mandate to govern. She says the SNP's performance at the polls would be crucial to their referendum bid.,Prof: Scottish Independence Requires Serious Debate Amid Soaring Cost of Living in UK16 June, 12:47 GMT,Legal Avenues,The think-tank director believes Sturgeon's appeal to the Supreme Court shows the SNP is anxious keep its latest bid for a referendum on firm legal ground, since its declared pretext for the vote is so Scotland can re-apply for membership of the European Union (EU). But she cautioned that would open "a whole can of worms.","Firstly, it clouds the entire idea of independence. It Scotland were to re-join the EU, which is heading towards getting rid of unanimity voting, the average Scot would have significantly less power than they do if they remain in the UK," she says.,"It is not 'independence' in any actual meaning of the word," Fuller stressed. "How do you run an 'independence' referendum on the understanding that if you win, you are going to join a larger, even less democratic, entity?",But more importantly, an unsanctioned 'indyref' would put the SNP in the same bracket as the coalition of Catalan nationalist parties who held an unofficial plebiscite in 2017, in which only supporters of independence bothered to vote. The political organisers found themselves arrested and charged or, in the case of then-regional president Carles Puigdemont, fleeing abroad as a fugitive.,"There are countries in the EU, like Spain, that are very much against separatist referendums, so getting some kind of legal blessing for this is probably necessary to retain their support," Fuller says.。    K图 603618_0  杭电股份8月25日晚发布半年度业绩报告,公司上半年实现营业收入50.97亿元,同比增长12.66%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润为3.93亿元,同比增长938.67%。
  值得注意的是,通过对比公司一季报及半年报,章建平在二季度新进成为公司第三大股东,持有2432.45万股,占总股本比例3.52%。图片  图片来源:公司半年报公告  公告显示,1—6月,公司生产经营呈现“电力电缆业务保持稳定、光通信业务增收增利、铜箔业务稳步推进”的态势。  报告期内,虽然电力电缆板块销售收入实现稳步增长,但由于电力电缆主要原材料价格维持高位波动以及市场竞争激烈,公司电力电缆毛利率持续承压。公司继续加快市场与产品结构双向调整,收缩低毛利业务,以电力市场为基本盘,重点推进机器人电缆、算力电缆、铝芯电缆等新产品研发,加大新兴市场拓展力度,加快海外市场开拓。  光通信板块方面,得益于AI智算集群大规模建设、低空经济应用等需求,光纤量价齐升,光纤行业维持高景气行情。

二 | 公司深挖数据中心、AI算力新赛道客户资源,同时持续拓展海外市场,扩大业务规模,建立长期稳定的战略合作关系。  铜箔板块方面,公司在管理上加强成本控制、提升产品A品率、加快人才梯队建设,研发上重点加快HVLP、RTF等新产品进度,进一步完善产品送样和试用检验,加快市场化推广步伐,不断加强铜箔业务发展动能。  8月25日,杭电股份股价收涨4.39%,报29.02元/股,最新市值约201亿元。  6月25日,杭电股份股价创历史新高,最高触及57.21元/股。

三 | 自年初至6月25日,公司股价累计涨幅达609.55%。之后,杭电股份股价回调,今年以来,截至目前,公司股价累计涨超260%。(文章来源:中国证券报)。

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